The 2026/27 NHL regular season is set to commence on September 29th, with traders already engaging in contracts on potential Stanley Cup winners after the Carolina Panthers’ victory last June.
After the 2026 Stanley Cup finals where Carolina beat the Vegas Golden Knights 4-2, the Hurricanes had a win probability of 49% for the upcoming season. However, that has decreased to 10%, with the Florida Panthers and Colorado Avalanche also seeing their win probabilities drop to 11%.
This presents an opportunity to identify and trade undervalued outcomes. The market has stabilized recently, and here are some offseason picks worth considering.
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Minnesota Wild Odds – Leveraging Salary Cap Advantages and Underpricing
“Minnesota Wild” | “Yes” at 6¢ | 6% Chance
The Wild made it to the second round of the playoffs last season with a .560 win rate in the Western Conference. They have addressed salary cap challenges and secured key player contracts, like Kirill Kaprizov’s $17 million, eight-year deal.
General manager Bill Guerin has also locked in defenseman Brock Faber and acquired Quinn Hughes from the Canucks to enhance the defensive unit.
Although there are concerns about center depth, there is time to address this before the trade deadline. With an exciting offense and strong defense, the Wild’s “Yes” shares are currently undervalued at 6¢ and could see substantial growth as the season progresses.
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Colorado Avalanche Odds – Elite Firepower and Potential for Value
“Colorado Avalanche” | “Yes” at 11¢ | 11% Chance
Although the Avalanche started with a 50% win probability, it has now settled at 11%. With a highly potent offense and a strong defense, the Avalanche are currently undervalued at 11¢.
Key players like Nathan MacKinnon and Martin Necas contribute significantly to the team’s success, making them a strong contender for the Stanley Cup. Buying “Yes” shares in the Avalanche now could yield a profit as the season progresses.
There is potential for the price to increase as the regular season approaches, providing opportunities for profitable trades.
Florida Panther Odds – Contesting as Prediction Market Favorites
“Florida Panthers” | “Yes” at 11¢ | 11% Chance
Despite a .487 win-rate last season and missing the playoffs, the Panthers continue to be seen as favorites. A strong summer draft has enhanced their lineup, and their intense playing style under coach Paul Maurice sets them apart.
However, their style may face challenges in the regular season, and their win probability of 11% might be overstated. With limited upside and potential inconsistency, it might be wise to tread carefully with Florida shares.
Montreal Canadiens Odds – The Long Shot Pick
“Montreal Canadiens” | “Yes” at 3.7¢ | 4% Chance
The Canadiens finished strongly last season and have reinforced their defense for the new season. With valuable shares currently priced at 3.7¢, there is room for growth if they sustain their form early in the season.
Considering their potential and historical performance, trading in Montreal Canadiens shares now could prove profitable in the short term.
The Last Word – Setting Your Exit Strategy for NHL Trades
Identifying undervalued outcomes can be lucrative in the NHL market. Setting an exit strategy is crucial to maximize profits and avoid liquidity risks. While holding onto shares can yield higher prices during the playoffs, it also entails greater risk and longer capital investment.
With various NHL markets available on Polymarket, including conference winners and award predictions, there are ample opportunities for trading and profit. Use code CORG on Polymarket for a $20 trading bonus upon registration and deposit.