Published on: October 14, 2024, 02:45h. 

Last updated on: October 14, 2024, 02:45h.

Nevada is now showing slight support for former President Donald Trump in the upcoming presidential election, according to a poll tracker from RealClearPolitics released over the weekend.

Trump leads Vice President Kamala Harris by 48.2% to 48%. RealClearPolitics previously had Harris winning in Nevada.

This shift in favor of Trump in Nevada could lead to him winning the state and the presidency, with projections showing Trump winning 302 Electoral College votes, as per RealClearPolitics. Harris is expected to win 236 Electoral College votes.

The shift towards Trump in Nevada was seen after a Wall Street Journal poll conducted from September 28 to October 10, which had Trump ahead of Harris by 49% to 43%.

When only considering Trump and Harris, Trump had a 6-point lead. When third-party candidates were included, Trump still maintained a 5-point lead.

The poll, conducted by Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/GBAO, surveyed 600 registered voters with a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.

Alternate Views on Harris Leading in Nevada

In contrast, Newsweek reported that the Silver Bulletin, from pollster Nate Silver, recently showed Harris with a 1.5-point lead in Nevada.

Another view comes from FiveThirtyEight’s polling average, which had Harris ahead of Trump by 0.5 points in Nevada.

Additionally, a poll released by Emerson College, KLAS TV in Las Vegas, and The Hill last week showed Harris favored by 48.1% of respondents, with Trump closely behind at 47.3%. A fraction of respondents (0.9%) supported neither candidate, while 2.7% remained undecided.

The margin of error for the Emerson College poll is plus or minus 3.2%, making the race too close to call at present.

Catholic Voters Trends

Based on a National Catholic Reporter poll released recently, Trump is leading Harris among Catholic voters in Nevada and other battleground states.

Approximately 50% of Catholics in these states favor Trump, while around 45% support Harris.

The poll, which questioned 1,172 Catholic voters in states like Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin from October 3 to 8, had a margin of error of plus or minus 2.86%.

Looking specifically at the Las Vegas area, it is estimated to have around 800,000 Catholic residents.

Betting Trends

Recent reports from Casino.org indicate shifting betting odds in favor of Trump.

Trump is currently the betting favorite with implied odds of 53%, while Harris is considered the underdog with winning chances below 47%, according to Polymarket, a decentralized peer-to-peer wagering platform, last reported percentages.

In different betting circles, Ladbrokes has Trump at 5/6 (-120) with implied odds of 54.5%, while Harris is at even money (+100) for implied odds of 50%. Paddy Power also has both candidates at even odds, but places Trump at 10/11 (-110) with implied odds of 52.3%. William Hill has both Trump and Harris at -110.