Published on: October 6, 2025, 01:33h.
Updated on: October 6, 2025, 01:33h.
- Bills’ Super Bowl odds slip to +475 following unexpected defeat to Patriots
- No undefeated teams left in the NFL after Eagles and Bills fall
- Patriots’ QB Drake Maye shines with a notable performance
Yesterday marked the end of perfection in the league, as both the Bills and Eagles suffered defeats, making it just the fourth time since the AFL-NFL merger in 1970 that we enter Week 6 without any undefeated teams.
NFL Parity After Five Weeks
This season, parity is the dominant theme in the NFL. Somewhere, Commissioner Roger Goodell is undoubtedly celebrating, as this outcome is precisely what he envisioned.
In the Patriots’ tight 23-20 victory over the Bills on Sunday Night Football, New England demonstrated that they might have found Tom Brady’s successor in quarterback Drake Maye. After years of struggles post-Brady, Maye stepped up to challenge MVP Josh Allen, completing 22 of 30 passes for 273 yards, with several standout throws occurring in the decisive fourth quarter.
Patriots Have Found Their Quarterback
Additionally, wide receiver Stefon Diggs, formerly of the Bills, had a spectacular game, undoubtedly motivated by a desire for revenge against the franchise that released him last year.
Diggs recorded 10 receptions for 146 yards, underscoring the Bills’ critical mistake of letting a talented receiver like him go without an adequate replacement. This oversight could jeopardize their Super Bowl aspirations.
The Bills’ offense struggled significantly, with Allen committing two turnovers (including an unusual interception at the Patriots’ 10-yard line and a fumble). WR Keon Allen also lost possession.
Bills Disappoint in Dismal Loss
This morning, insightful commentary from Adam Schein on Sirius’ Mad Dog Sports Radio highlighted the situation:
“Patriots fans must be elated this morning. New England entered Western New York as 8.5-point underdogs and triumphed over the Bills.”
“The Buffalo Bills’ offensive display was horrendous. Their discipline faltered, their play-calling was poor, and their coaching fell short. Last night marked a defining moment for Drake Maye. Observers are beginning to draw comparisons between him and a young Josh Allen. Buffalo must find a path forward. With Maye leading the way and a rookie kicker successfully executing a 52-yard field goal with just 15 seconds left, it’s evident this game was a statement.”
Colts Spring Surprise Against Raiders
“I did predict the Bills would win the Super Bowl, but they haven’t presented themselves as a championship team in the first five weeks… to be clear, they’ve looked quite average over their last three outings. For Buffalo fans, this is a nightmare scenario. This was supposed to be their year, their moment to excel with their quarterback playing at an elite level. Such performance is unacceptable.”
“The Bills desperately need that No. 1 seed if they’re to secure the AFC title. They must capitalize on the Chiefs’ struggles, along with injuries to Joe Burrow and Lamar Jackson. It was crucial for Buffalo to win a game like this, but their sloppy performance was disappointing.”
Commanders Shock Chargers with Surprise Win
Yesterday was full of surprises as the Eagles squandered a 14-point lead at home, ultimately losing 21-17 to the Broncos. The Saints took down Jaxson Dart and the Giants 26-14, the Titans secured their first victory of the season at 22-21 over the Cardinals, and the Commanders defeated the heavily favored Chargers 27-10.
“The early start in London didn’t deter bettors, who had a fantastic day with the Vikings staging a comeback to cover the -3.5 spread, much to the delight of both pre-game and in-play bettors,” stated Joey Feazel, Head of Football at Caesars Sportsbook. “Overall, the early games were a significant win for customers, continuing the trend of expected teams performing well while underdog teams like Carolina and Dallas emerged victorious.”
Patriots’ Super Bowl Odds Improve
Top performances for bettors featured the Vikings covering the -3.5 spread, the Cowboys winning on the moneyline, and the Colts covering -7, while the Broncos’ moneyline resulted in significant gains for the bookmakers.
In terms of Super Bowl betting shifts at ESPN BET, despite the Bills sliding from +400 pregame to +475 post-defeat, they still hold the favorite status.
Meanwhile, New England has dramatically improved their Super Bowl odds from +10000 on Sunday morning down to +5000 after their impressive road victory. The Bills currently lead as the most wagered team for the Super Bowl on ESPN BET in both total bets and handle.
Increased Interest for Chiefs Ahead of MNF
The Eagles are now positioned with the second-best Super Bowl odds at +650 (down from +600 entering Sunday), while the Lions have slightly regrouped, moving from +800 to +700, tying for the third-best odds alongside the Packers.
The Chiefs have shortened their odds from +900 to +750 as of Monday morning ahead of their MNF matchup with the Jaguars, while the Ravens have decreased from +1000 to +1500, retaining the sixth-best odds.
For tonight’s matchup between the Chiefs and Jaguars, 32.5% of bets and 50.3% of handle support the Jaguars +3.5 (which opened at +2.5), while 68.4% of bets and 81.1% of handle are behind the Chiefs ML (-195).