Stifel: Caesars Unlikely to Receive Increased Acquisition Bid


There is little likelihood of an alternative bid emerging for Tilman Fertitta’s $17.6 billion acquisition proposal for Caesars Entertainment (NASDAQ: CZR), although it remains uncertain when the respective parties will officially proceed.

The Flamingo Las Vegas, part of Caesars Entertainment. The likelihood of additional takeover bids seems low. (Image: Shutterstock)

In a recent report to clients, Stifel analyst Steven Wieczynski articulated that the prospects of another acquisition bid for Caesars, the operator of Harrah’s, are slim.

“We maintain our forecast for Fertitta Entertainment’s acquisition at $31 per share as fundamentally sound and see scant evidence that a more competitive offer will surface,” remarked the analyst.

Caesars released its second-quarter performance details today after the U.S. markets closed; however, Fertitta’s takeover proposal did not generate much discourse. The “go-shop” window, during which Caesars could explore interest from other potential buyers, closed on July 11. Since that date, communication between the parties has been limited.

Unlikely for a New Bid for Caesars

There has been considerable speculation regarding Caesars shareholder and veteran gaming investor Carl Icahn potentially presenting a $33 per-share bid for the casino operator, which would exceed Fertitta’s current offer. However, no concrete plans have surfaced yet.

While some analysts on Wall Street suggest Fertitta’s offer slightly undervalues Caesars, the prevailing sentiment suggests that no additional bidders are expected to emerge. Wieczynski aligns with this perspective.

“Given the backing from various significant stakeholders (including the Carano family, who owns approximately 5%), we believe a higher bid is improbable at this stage, making it likely that the deal advances at the proposed price,” noted the Stifel analyst.

Caesars’ board, which includes two senior executives from Icahn Enterprises (NYSE: IEP), has endorsed Fertitta’s proposal, urging shareholders to support it.

Caesars Q2 Performance: Strip Challenges

Details around the Caesars acquisition surfaced on the same day the operator reported its second-quarter financials. Amid weakness on the Las Vegas Strip, where it ranks as the second-largest operator, Caesars posted a loss of 35 cents per share for the June quarter against revenue of $2.99 billion. Although this revenue figure marginally outperformed analysts’ expectations, Wall Street had forecasted a profit of five cents per share.

The company’s Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, Amortization, and Rent Costs (EBITDAR) stood at $920 million, 4% below analysts’ estimates. A decline in Strip table performance, which dropped to 16.6%—a year-over-year decrease of 450 basis points—alongside lower hotel occupancy in the U.S. casino market, contributed to this shortfall.

Caesars’ regional casino performance, however, showed signs of improvement, as Truist Securities analyst Barry Jonas pointed out that investments in the company’s gaming locations in Lake Tahoe, Nevada, and New Orleans are yielding positive results.

Regarding capital investments, Caesars is concluding its latest expenditure initiative, indicating that should it remain independent, it could potentially reduce its $11.8 billion debt. The firm currently possesses $965 million in cash reserves.

Todd Shriber serves as a senior news reporter focused on gaming financials, casino operations, stock markets, and mergers and acquisitions for Casino.org.

His career began in financial journalism with Bloomberg News, after which he became a trader at a Southern California-based hedge fund specializing in trading and international ETFs during the financial crisis. He joined Casino.org in 2019.

Currently, Todd conducts analysis, research, and writes about ETFs for various online publications and financial businesses. His expertise has been featured in Barron’s, CNBC.com, and The Wall Street Journal. He has also contributed to Benzinga, ETF Daily News, ETF Trends, MarketWatch, Fox Business, and Nasdaq.com.

Residing in Las Vegas, Todd enjoys golfing and taking his black lab to the dog park. He is a passionate sports fan and often bets on college football and the NBA. He also frequents three-card poker and roulette tables despite knowing better.

Contact Todd via email at [email protected].



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