Coinbase ventures into prediction markets in effort to expand beyond cryptocurrency


On Wednesday, Coinbase announced its entry into prediction markets by teaming up with Kalshi, as the cryptocurrency exchange listed in the U.S. intensifies its ambitions to diversify its offerings beyond digital currencies and transform into a comprehensive trading hub.

<p>This anticipated strategy <strong>enables Coinbase clients to engage in trading event-oriented contracts related to various sectors such as politics, economics, culture, and sports, in addition to cryptocurrencies and equities</strong>. The prediction market functionalities will be facilitated by Kalshi, a recognized U.S. exchange already collaborating with platforms including Robinhood and Webull.</p>

<p>“<strong>We are making significant strides today towards realizing our vision of the Everything Exchange – greatly augmenting the range of assets available on Coinbase</strong>, which now encompasses unique cryptocurrencies, stocks, perpetual futures, and prediction markets,” the firm communicated in a statement.</p>

<p><strong>Coinbase's entry into prediction markets is part of a broader expansion initiative</strong>, which includes the introduction of stock trading, the roll-out of enhanced trading mechanisms, and the deployment of a roadmap for tokenization with the aim of bringing traditional assets like equities onto blockchain platforms. <strong>CEO Brian Armstrong has indicated that the ambition is to establish Coinbase as the ultimate trading venue for all assets.</strong></p>

<p><strong>This move positions Coinbase among competitors such as Crypto.com, Gemini, and Robinhood, which have already ventured into the burgeoning prediction markets arena.</strong> Recently, competition has escalated with Robinhood extending its event contracts to feature football parlays and player propositions.</p>

<p>Beyond crypto exchanges, interest from diverse entities has surged within this space. <strong>DraftKings is planning to acquire its own exchange, FanDuel has allied with CME-related initiatives, and Polymarket is striving to broaden its presence in the U.S. market.</strong> A key rivalry in this industry remains between Kalshi and Polymarket, typically characterized as regulated exchanges versus crypto-oriented liquidity.</p>

<p><strong>Kalshi stands to gain from its partnership with Coinbase, as it aims to forge closer connections with the cryptocurrency ecosystem.</strong> Coinbase also revealed plans to endorse contracts from various prediction market platforms in the forthcoming months.</p>

<p>“<strong>A more extensive prediction marketplace allows for better-informed trading activities</strong>, and we aim to facilitate contracts from additional prediction market platforms in the near future,” Coinbase expressed.</p>

<p>However, some analysts speculate that Robinhood may experience more immediate financial gains from prediction markets. <strong>Mizuho analysts indicated that survey findings reveal Robinhood users are better positioned to deploy new funds into event contracts compared to Coinbase patrons.</strong></p>

<p>“<strong>We predict a larger percentage revenue impact for Robinhood compared to Coinbase</strong>, given that survey data indicates users on their platform are more inclined to fund a prediction markets portfolio with new investments,” stated Mizuho analysts Dan Dolev and Alexander Jenkins in their report.</p>

<p>The survey found that around <strong>50% of Robinhood users indicated they were likely to commit additional capital into prediction markets, in contrast to 37% of Coinbase users</strong> who plan to finance such trades by liquidating their current cryptocurrency holdings. Users displayed heightened interest in economic events and politics over sports.</p>

<p><strong>Armstrong has noted that prediction markets serve more as a means for information gathering on future occurrences</strong> rather than merely a trading asset.</p>

<p>“People utilize prediction markets to ascertain what might transpire next month,” he remarked in a recent interview, adding that a small fraction of users regard them primarily as tradable assets.</p>

<p><strong>Coinbase's overarching strategy encompasses launching “Coinbase Tokenize” for institutional tokenization of real-world assets</strong>, enhancing APIs across custody, payments, trading, and stablecoins, and making Coinbase Business accessible to authorized users in the U.S. and Singapore. <strong>The company is also set to introduce custom stablecoins and a new payment standard branded x402.</strong></p>

<p>Armstrong has positioned this expansion as the <strong>initial phase of a long-term evolution of the platform</strong>.</p>

<p><strong>“This is merely the beginning,” he stated</strong>,<strong> </strong>as Coinbase endeavors to retain users throughout various market cycles by providing multiple asset classes within a singular platform.</p>





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