Spain Continues to Be the Top Betting Choice Following World Cup Draw


Published on: December 5, 2025, 08:29h.

Updated on: December 5, 2025, 08:34h.

  • The U.S. faces Paraguay, Australia, and the UEFA Playoff C victor (either Türkiye, Romania, Slovakia, or Kosovo) in Group D
  • The tournament spans June 11 – July 19 across Mexico, the U.S., and Canada
  • 48 nations will participate, an increase from the 32 that qualified for the 2022 Qatar tournament

The FIFA World Cup 2026 Draw has concluded, confirming all group placements, with Spain emerging as the top betting favorite among the 48 competing nations from June 11 to July 19. Currently, only six out of the 48 spots remain unfilled.

World Cup Draw
U.S. President Donald Trump selects the United States card during the FIFA World Cup 2026 Official Draw held at the John F. Kennedy Center for the Performing Arts on December 05, 2025, in Washington, DC. Image credit: Mandel NGAN – Pool/Getty Images.

Group A
Mexico
South Africa
Korea
Winner of UEFA Playoff D (Denmark, North Macedonia, Czechia, Ireland)

Group B
Canada
Winner of UEFA Playoff A (Italy, Northern Ireland, Wales, Bosnia and Herzegovina)
Qatar
Switzerland

Group C
Brazil
Morocco
Haiti
Scotland

Group D
United States
Paraguay
Australia
Winner of UEFA Playoff C (Turkiye, Romania, Slovakia, Kosovo)

Group E
Germany
Curacao
Ivory Coast
Ecuador

Group F
Netherlands
Japan
Winner of UEFA Playoff B (Ukraine, Sweden, Poland, Albania)
Tunisia

Group G
Belgium
Egypt
Iran
New Zealand

Group H
Spain
Cabo Verde
Saudi Arabia
Uruguay

Group I
France
Senegal
Winner of Playoff 2 (Bolivia, Suriname, Iraq)
Norway

Group J
Argentina
Algeria
Austria
Jordan

Group K
Portugal
Winner of Playoff 1 (New Caledonia, Congo, Jamaica)
Uzbekistan
Colombia

Group L
England
Croatia
Panama
Ghana

Odds Remain Steady for Host Nations

Spain, the leading contender, maintains its odds at +450 to clinch the World Cup at theScore Bet, while Caesars Sportsbook lists them at +400. DraftKings also rates Spain as the favorite at +450, and FanDuel matches this at +400.

Among the leading teams, England’s odds have shifted from +600 to +550 after being drawn with Croatia, Ghana, and Panama. Conversely, France’s odds decreased from +650 to +700 following their draw with Senegal, Norway, and the yet-to-be-determined playoff winner.

Top Goalscorer Odds

TheScore Bet lists Kylian Mbappe at +600, Harry Kane at +700, Lionel Messi at +1200, Erling Haaland at +1400, Lamine Yamal at +1400, and Cristiano Ronaldo at +2000.

“Since the initial book release in December 2022, significant shifts have occurred in the odds for Spain, England, and Brazil. Spain opened at +800 but shortened after winning Euro 2024,” stated Mark Bickerdike, Head of Soccer at Caesars Sportsbook. “Their odds further tightened after an unbeaten qualifying run of 31 matches. They are currently leading the betting at +400. Brazil’s odds have drifted from +600 to +800 due to their inconsistent qualifying results and a recent defeat to Japan in October.”

Notable Winners Post-Draw

Following the draw, Bickerdike noted minimal shifts in odds due to the expanded format with 32 teams proceeding to the knockout stages.

However, the clear winners appear to be the USA, England, and Argentina, as their market odds have improved slightly. France is the notable team to see its odds drift, primarily after drawing against a strong Norway team.

Caesars will introduce more betting markets as the World Cup approaches. A significant number of additional options will be offered once all qualifying paths are finalized in March, with even more markets becoming available after the final rosters are confirmed at the end of May.

“Soccer ranks just behind Football, Basketball, and Baseball as Caesars’ most sought-after betting sport, so anticipation for next summer’s World Cup is exceptionally high,” he added.

High Betting Handle Anticipated

Bickerdike remarked that the tournament’s extended duration and U.S.-friendly timing are expected to yield the largest betting handle for a soccer event in history.

Preparations are already in place to ensure Caesars’ bettors have access to more markets, innovative products, and promotions than ever before, he concluded.



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