Unusual Start to NFL Season Results in Bettors Facing Losses


Published on: September 27, 2024, 01:46h.

Last updated on: September 27, 2024, 01:46h.

Sports Betting Hall of Famer Johnny Avello mentions the unpredictability of the NFL in Week 4, with several favorites going down unexpectedly.

“This season has been wild with underdogs winning outright, making it unusual,” he explains.

Johnny Avello, DraftKings’ Director of Race & Sportsbook Operations

Sportsbooks thriving amid surprises

With scoring down, sportsbooks are experiencing a profitable period, while bettors are facing challenges, especially with overs bets. Lines are now tighter to reflect the uncertainty in games, according to Avello.

The strong start for sportsbooks indicates a reinvestment in bonuses and promotions to keep bettors engaged.

Avello, from DraftKings, shares insights from monitoring NFL games, including the recent Dallas Cowboys vs. New York Giants matchup.

“Bettors have struggled with teasers, money line parlays, and survivor contests in the first three weeks,” he notes. “Offenses seem less cohesive due to limited preseason games, affecting scoring.”

Rise of inexperienced NFL quarterbacks

“Scoring is lower this season, with many new quarterbacks adapting to the fast-paced NFL games,” Avello explains. “Teams are relying more on short passing and running plays.”

He predicts a leveling out of trends, with favorites regaining momentum and scoring increasing in the coming weeks.

Challenges for oddsmakers

Avello acknowledges the adjustments needed by oddsmakers following unexpected outcomes. Injuries to key quarterbacks further complicate line-setting and impact betting odds.

Despite the current uncertainties, Avello remains optimistic about the future performance of sportsbooks.

Johnny Avello’s outlook

“The NFL season’s early unpredictability will likely balance out, with favorites claiming victories in the upcoming weeks,” Avello assures. “Maintaining consistent strategies is key for bookmakers despite current challenges.”

He anticipates surprises in upcoming games, emphasizing the competitiveness and unpredictability of NFL matchups.



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