Published on: December 14, 2025, 10:24 AM.

Updated on: December 14, 2025, 10:28 AM.

• High-stakes Bills vs. Patriots clash at 1 PM, the most wagered game in sportsbooks
• Colts are heavy underdogs against Seattle with 44-year-old Phillip Rivers starting at QB
• Is this a potential Super Bowl preview in Denver today?

This morning’s betting narratives for NFL Week 15 highlight the Buffalo Bills, who are slight road favorites against the New England Patriots in a critical AFC matchup at 1 PM EST, amidst snow and freezing temperatures (feels like 23°F). Additionally, the Denver Broncos are receiving backing as home underdogs versus the Green Bay Packers at 4:25 PM EST. Could this matchup hint at a Super Bowl clash?

The Bills (9-4) must defeat the Patriots (11-2, winners of ten straight) to secure the AFC East title.

“In Week 15, we have eight games where spreads are 6 points or more,” noted Christian Cipollini, Trading Manager at BetMGM. “If a few underdogs manage to cover or win outright, it could disrupt many parlays.”

Most popular games (by ticket sales) at BetMGM include Bills vs. Patriots, Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals, and Packers at Broncos. The leading bet spreads are Bills -1.5, Los Angeles Chargers +6 (against the Chiefs in Kansas City), and Carolina Panthers -2.5 in New Orleans facing the Saints.

Ravens vs. Bengals: A Highly Wagered Matchup

The most wagered spreads by deal include Houston Texans -10 (hosting the Arizona Cardinals), Bills -1.5, and Philadelphia Eagles -12.5 (playing at home against the Las Vegas Raiders). Top bet totals today include Cleveland Browns at Chicago Bears (Under 38.5), Bills vs. Patriots (Over 49), and Ravens at Bengals (Over 51.5).

At theScore Bet, the leading games by handle are Bills at Patriots, Ravens at Bengals, Browns at Bears, Detroit Lions at L.A. Rams, and Raiders at Eagles.

The most lopsided betting splits by percentage at theScore Bet are 49ers -12.5 (vs. Titans) – 88.6%, Seahawks -13.5 (vs. Colts) – 71.3%, Lions +6 (@ Rams) – 69.1%.

Victories today for the Patriots, Broncos, and Rams would secure their playoff spots.

Can Allen Lead to Victory?

Joey Feazel, Head of Football at Caesars Sportsbook, is focusing on the Lions/Rams, Chargers/Chiefs, and Bills/Patriots matchups today.

“We’re paying close attention to the line movements in the Colts-Seahawks game. This week, we witnessed a significant 10-point swing following Daniel Jones’ injury,” he commented. “It will be intriguing to see how bettors react and if this shift affects the overall betting volume compared to our projections from a few weeks back.”

“The Rams-Lions line has shifted from -4.5 to -6 in favor of the Rams. The total has also increased from 52.5 to 55. Given the history of the Jared Goff–Matthew Stafford trade, this matchup carries added intrigue. Both teams are vying for playoff position and feature high-powered offenses, leading us to anticipate strong betting activity, especially on props, due to the scoring potential from both sides.”

Browns vs. Bears: A Focus on Totals

“Early betting on the Chargers has shown some sharp action, but the line continues to gravitate towards the Chiefs despite their recent inconsistencies. The total has dropped, likely due to the expected cold weather influencing how the game will unfold.”

Do the Bills still possess championship-caliber spirit? Quarterback Josh Allen undoubtedly does, particularly on the run. The Bills cannot afford a loss today – with the Chiefs’ Patrick Mahomes, Bengals’ Joe Burrow, and Ravens’ Lamar Jackson all poised for a Super Bowl run this year, the only obstacle from the AFC appears to be Drake Maye of the Patriots.

Veteran Rivers Returns After Long Hiatus

“Even though the Patriots triumphed in the previous matchup and are hosting after their bye week, we’re seeing a flood of bets on the Bills,” Feazel remarked. “A victory here could bolster Josh Allen’s MVP candidacy, though his fate isn’t solely in his control. Evidence shows he hasn’t outperformed last season, and he can’t do much to hinder Matthew Stafford’s remarkable season.”

On the injury front, 44-year-old QB Phillip Rivers, who hasn’t played in 1800 days, makes his start for the Indianapolis Colts today in Seattle against the Seahawks, stepping in following Daniel Jones’ Achilles tear. The pressure of playoff aspirations rests heavily on Rivers’ shoulders, with DraftKings categorizing the Colts as significant underdogs at +700 against the Seahawks at -1100.

Other notable injury news includes the Commanders, Raiders, and Jets all missing their starting quarterbacks. The Cowboys’ CeeDee Lamb returns to the lineup, while the Bengals’ wide receiver Tee Higgins will be sidelined.