With the Signing of Jays’ Okamoto, Is MLB Free Agency About to Kick Into High Gear?


Published on: January 4, 2026, 12:13h.

Updated on: January 4, 2026, 12:13h.

  • Blue Jays ink deal with Japanese powerhouse Kazuma Okamoto worth $60 million
  • Tucker, Bichette, and Bregman among the elite players in free agency
  • Yankees remain the top contenders in the American League

Yesterday, the Toronto Blue Jays made a significant move in the American League by announcing a four-year, $60 million contract with Japanese superstar Kazuma Okamoto, along with a $5 million signing bonus, as reported by ESPN.

Kyle Tucker of the Chicago Cubs at bat during the National League Division Series against the Milwaukee Brewers at Wrigley Field, Chicago, in October. He remains a highly sought-after free agent. (Image: Matt Dirksen/Chicago Cubs/Getty Images)

The pressing question remains: how eager are teams to invest heavily in free agents given the looming possibility of a work slowdown? The current collective bargaining agreement concludes on December 1, 2026, and there’s speculation that MLB owners may seek to implement a salary cap. Players, however, are likely to resist such changes. Notable talent is still on the free agency market, and the slow off-season activity has led to adjustments in player valuation, as teams adopt a more cautious approach, hoping to reset salary expectations.

The Blue Jays find themselves in an intriguing position. After a nail-biting seven-game World Series against the L.A. Dodgers, where they narrowly missed out on the championship, the Jays are operating like a big-market team. This winter, they’ve committed $337 million in future salaries, which includes Okamoto and new pitchers Dylan Cease (seven years, $210 million), Cody Ponce (three years, $30 million), and Tyler Rogers (three years, $37 million). Additionally, pitcher Shane Bieber has activated his $16 million option for 2026.

Blue Jays Propel Forward in Free Agency

Kazuma Okamoto, 29, is an extraordinary power hitter, having played in Japan’s Nippon Professional Baseball League with the Yomiuri Giants since 2017. He leads the league with 248 career home runs, surpassing Munetaka Murakami, who joined the Chicago White Sox in December. Okamoto, a six-time NPB all-star, has excelled as a third baseman (and also first base and outfield). Despite missing half of last season due to an elbow injury, he boasts impressive home run totals ranging from 27 to 41 per season, with batting averages over the last three seasons of .278, .280, and .327.

The Blue Jays have gained considerable momentum from their World Series experience, which not only generated ticket sales but also served as a showcase for the team and management. The seven-game series highlighted their financial strength, player treatment, and enthusiastic fan base. Okamoto’s addition enhances the Blue Jays’ lineup depth—complementing position players like Addison Barger and Ernie Clement, who offer positional flexibility.

The Free Agent Landscape

According to FanGraphs, Okamoto’s projected wRC+ (Weighted Runs Created Plus, a key metric for hitting performance) is 110 for 2026, positioning him as a strong contributor (with projections of 19 home runs and 59 RBIs).

The Blue Jays may not be finished in free agency. ESPN reports that Okamoto’s salary will start at $7 million this year, increasing to $16 million for the remaining three years. Veteran MLB reporter Buster Olney has suggested that the Blue Jays are in prime position to land either Tucker or Bichette. Acquiring Bichette is strategic, especially as he has expressed a willingness to transition to second base. This creates potential for a lineup featuring Okamoto at third, Andrés Giménez at shortstop, Bichette at second, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. at first, and Ernie Clement acting as a utility player.

Current Betting Odds

Key free agents still remain on the market:

  • OF Kyle Tucker (Chicago Cubs 2025, .266 AVG, 22 HRs, 73 RBIs, .841 OPS)
  • SS Bo Bichette (Blue Jays 2025, .311, 18 HRs, 94 RBIs, .840 OPS)
  • 3B Alex Bregman (Boston Red Sox 2025, .273, 18 HRs, 62 RBIs, .821 OPS)
  • OF Cody Bellinger (New York Yankees 2025, .272, 29 HRs, 98 RBIs, .813 OPS)
  • SP Framber Valdez (Houston Astros 2025, record 13-11, 3.66 ERA, 187 strikeouts, 1.24 WHIP)

Surprisingly, despite a relatively quiet off-season compared to the Blue Jays’ four signings, the New York Yankees remain favored to claim the American League title (notably, Gerrit Cole returns from elbow surgery). Current odds are: Yankees +310, Seattle Mariners +550, Houston Astros +550, Boston Red Sox +700, Blue Jays +750, Baltimore Orioles +1100 at DraftKings.

At FanDuel, the odds are Yankees +360, Mariners +550, Astros +650, Red Sox +650, Blue Jays +700, Orioles +1000.



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