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Published on: March 7, 2026, 12:33h.
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Updated on: March 7, 2026, 12:35h.
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<li><b>Holloway is the betting favourite ahead of tonight’s UFC 326 bout with Oliveira</b></li>
<li><b>At +180, Oliveira has attracted 72% of bets and 59% of the total wager</b></li>
<li><strong>A representative from BetMGM anticipates that most bets will favor Holloway to secure victory in the final minute of the fifth round</strong></li>
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<p>According to BetMGM, Charles Oliveira is receiving significant betting attention as he enters his lightweight UFC fight against Max Holloway as an underdog tonight in Las Vegas.</p>
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<img fetchpriority="high" decoding="async" class="size-post-thumbnail-858xAUTO wp-image-378918" src="https://www.casino.org/news/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/Max-Holloway-Charles-Oliveira-UFC-312-858x572.jpg" alt="Holloway vs Oliveira" width="858" height="572" srcset="https://www.casino.org/news/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/Max-Holloway-Charles-Oliveira-UFC-312-858x572.jpg 858w, https://www.casino.org/news/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/Max-Holloway-Charles-Oliveira-UFC-312-430x287.jpg 430w, https://www.casino.org/news/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/Max-Holloway-Charles-Oliveira-UFC-312-302x200.jpg 302w, https://www.casino.org/news/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/Max-Holloway-Charles-Oliveira-UFC-312-238x158.jpg 238w, https://www.casino.org/news/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/Max-Holloway-Charles-Oliveira-UFC-312-194x128.jpg 194w, https://www.casino.org/news/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/Max-Holloway-Charles-Oliveira-UFC-312.jpg 1280w" sizes="(max-width: 858px) 100vw, 858px"/>
<figcaption id="caption-attachment-378918" class="text-description">Max Holloway, left, and Charles Oliveira face off during the ceremonial weigh-in for UFC 326 at the MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. (Image: Chris Unger/Zuffa LLC)</figcaption>
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<h2>Holloway as the Betting Favourite</h2>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">Max Holloway holds a professional record of 27 wins, 8 losses, and no draws, including 12 knockout victories, and is currently the BMF (“Baddest Motherf***er”) champion—a largely symbolic title. In contrast, Oliveira boasts a record of 36 wins, 11 losses, with 10 knockouts leading into this fight. He is coming off a submission victory in the second round against Mateusz Gamrot at a UFC Fight Night event last October, following a shocking knockout defeat to Ilia Topuria in round one at UFC 317 in June.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">BetMGM lists Holloway at -220 for this matchup, with 28% of total bets and 41% of the wager total, while Oliveira is at +180, attracting 72% of bets and 59% of the total handle.</p>
<h2>Rematch of Former Champions</h2>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">The main card will kick off tonight at 9 p.m. EST, hosted at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">“The headlining event of UFC 326 showcases two of the most thrilling fighters ever to grace the octagon in Max Holloway and Charles Oliveira,” stated Alex Rella, Trading Manager at BetMGM.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">“It’s widely anticipated that this rematch between two former champions won’t go the distance, as the most sought-after bets involve Holloway winning via KO/TKO and Oliveira securing victory via submission. By the time the final bell rings, we expect that the majority of our liabilities will rest on Holloway winning in the last thirty seconds of the fifth round, thanks to his well-known finishing ability just before the fight concludes.”</p>
<h2>Oliveira Winning by Submission</h2>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">The most wagered fights include Holloway vs. Oliveira, followed by Drew Dober (-120) vs. Michael Johnson (+100), Cody Garbrandt (+140) vs. Xiao Long (-170), Caio Borralho (-235) vs. Reinier de Ridder (+190), and Gregory Rodrigues (-180) vs. Brunno Ferreira (+145).</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">Following Oliveira, the fighters receiving the most ticket bets include Holloway, Garbrandt, Dober, and Ferreira, while the leading figures based on total handle are Oliveira, Holloway, Raul Rosas Jr. (-235), Cody Duren (+140), and Dober.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">Among the most bet props (by ticket), notable mentions are Oliveira by submission (+300), Holloway by KO/TKO or DQ (+150), Luke Fernandez by submission in the early prelims (+1400), Oliveira by decision/technical decision (+1200), and Durden by decision/technical decision (+450).</p>
<p>According to theScore Bet, Holloway is listed at -210, while Oliveira stands at +180.</p>
