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    Published on: March 7, 2026, 12:33 PM.
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    Updated on: March 7, 2026, 12:37 PM.
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<ul>
    <li><b>Max Holloway favored to win in tonight's UFC 326 matchup versus Oliveira</b></li>
    <li><b>Oliveira, sitting at +180, is garnering 72% of the wagers and 59% of the total action</b></li>
    <li><strong>BetMGM representative anticipates their biggest risk will be on Holloway to finish strong in the final moments of the fifth round</strong></li>
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<p>In the upcoming lightweight clash at UFC 326 in Las Vegas, Charles Oliveira is attracting the highest level of betting interest as the underdog against Max Holloway, according to BetMGM.</p>
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    <img fetchpriority="high" decoding="async" class="size-post-thumbnail-858xAUTO wp-image-378918" src="https://www.casino.org/news/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/Max-Holloway-Charles-Oliveira-UFC-312-858x572.jpg" alt="" width="858" height="572" srcset="https://www.casino.org/news/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/Max-Holloway-Charles-Oliveira-UFC-312-858x572.jpg 858w, https://www.casino.org/news/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/Max-Holloway-Charles-Oliveira-UFC-312-430x287.jpg 430w, https://www.casino.org/news/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/Max-Holloway-Charles-Oliveira-UFC-312-302x200.jpg 302w, https://www.casino.org/news/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/Max-Holloway-Charles-Oliveira-UFC-312-238x158.jpg 238w, https://www.casino.org/news/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/Max-Holloway-Charles-Oliveira-UFC-312-194x128.jpg 194w, https://www.casino.org/news/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/Max-Holloway-Charles-Oliveira-UFC-312.jpg 1280w" sizes="(max-width: 858px) 100vw, 858px"/>
    <figcaption id="caption-attachment-378918" class="text-description">Max Holloway faces off with Charles Oliveira during the ceremonial weigh-in for UFC 326 at MGM Grand Garden Arena on March 6, 2026, in Las Vegas, Nevada. (Image: Chris Unger/Zuffa LLC)</figcaption>
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<h2>Holloway the Favored Contender</h2>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">Max Holloway holds a record of 27 wins, 8 losses, and no draws, boasting 12 career knockouts. He is also the current BMF ("Baddest Motherf***er") champion, a title that is more symbolic than competitive. Charles Oliveira, in contrast, has a professional record of 36 wins and 11 losses, with 10 of those victories coming via knockout. Oliveira's last fight resulted in a second-round submission victory against Mateusz Gamrot at a UFC Fight Night last October, following a notable knockout defeat to Ilia Topuria in a lightweight title bout at UFC 317 the previous June.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">For today's fight, BetMGM has Holloway listed at -220, reflecting 28% of the bets and 41% of the total wagered amount on him. In contrast, Oliveira is at +180, attracting a significant 72% of the bets and 59% of the total handle.</p>
<h2>Second Encounter Between Titleholders</h2>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">The main card action kicks off tonight at 9 PM EST, taking place at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">“UFC 326’s main event showcases two of the most thrilling fighters we’ve ever had the privilege to witness, Max Holloway and Charles Oliveira,” commented Alex Rella, Trading Manager at BetMGM.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">“Fans anticipate this rematch between former champions won’t go the full distance, as the most popular betting props are Holloway by KO/TKO and Oliveira by submission. By the end of the fight, I believe our greatest risk will be on Holloway clinching victory in the final moments of the fifth round, known for his incredible finishes when there are just seconds left in a match.”</p>
<h2>Oliveira's Submission Potential</h2>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">The top fights attracting bets include Holloway vs. Oliveira, followed by Drew Dober (-120) against Michael Johnson (+100), Cody Garbrandt (+140) facing Xiao Long (-170), Caio Borralho (-235) battling Reinier de Ridder (+190), and Gregory Rodrigues (-180) taking on Brunno Ferreira (+145).</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">In terms of ticket sales, after Oliveira, the most wagered fighters include Holloway, Garbrandt, Dober, and Ferreira. For total handle, Oliveira tops the list, followed by Holloway, Raul Rosas Jr. (-235), Cody Duren (+140), and Dober.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">When it comes to the most popular prop bets (by tickets), Oliveira by submission (+300) leads, followed by Holloway by KO/TKO or DQ (+150), Luke Fernandez by submission in the early prelims (+1400), Oliveira by decision or technical decision (+1200), and Durden by decision or technical decision (+450).</p>
<p>At theScore Bet, Holloway’s odds are at -210, while Oliveira sits at +180.</p>